My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 3.2 targets.
  • With a high 10.3% Target Rate (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • With a fantastic 18.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (86th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates among the top RBs in the pass game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Josh Jacobs has accrued a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among running backs.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™