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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
  • With a sizeable 10.7% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs places among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.
  • With an impressive 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (87th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in the league.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (40.0) to running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in the lowly 20th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • Josh Jacobs's 82.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 88.6% figure.
  • Josh Jacobs's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this season shows a substantial decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 8.0 rate.

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