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Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.2 targets.

Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.8% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

With a stellar 19.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (89th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs stands as one of the top running backs in the pass game in football.

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Josh Jacobs has notched a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.

Josh Jacobs's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 88.5% to 81.6%.

Josh Jacobs's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this year shows a substantial regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.0 figure.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

Josh Jacobs Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16