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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 85th percentile among RBs with 3.4 targets.
  • Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 11.1% this year, which places him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs rates as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a fantastic 19.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
  • In regards to air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in just the 10th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.
  • Josh Jacobs's 82.6% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a noteable decline in his receiving skills over last season's 88.4% mark.
  • Josh Jacobs's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, averaging just 6.64 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.99 mark last year.
  • Josh Jacobs's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 11.42 mark last year.

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