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Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.This week, Josh Jacobs is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 81st percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.Josh Jacobs has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.With an outstanding 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs places as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL.The Bears linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.When talking about air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in just the 14th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.Josh Jacobs's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 88.4% to 81.5%.
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