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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Green Bay Packers
Receiving Yards
New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers · Week 11, 2025 Updated Nov 17, 2025 2:12 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 4.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 18.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.
  • The Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (93rd percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league.
Favors Under
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 52.6% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Josh Jacobs has totaled a measly -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile when it comes to RBs.
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