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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 4.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 18.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.
  • The Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (93rd percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 54.0% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are projected by the projections to call just 63.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Josh Jacobs has totaled a measly -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 88.4% to 80.8%.

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