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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to total 3.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which puts him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs checks in as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 20.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Eagles pass defense has been torched for a massive 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Josh Jacobs has accumulated a mere -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 10th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 88.4% to 80.4%.
  • Josh Jacobs's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 8.0 rate.
  • Josh Jacobs's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 11.42 figure last season.

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