Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Josh Jacobs has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 24.0 yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
Josh Jacobs's pass-game efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 7.96 yards-per-target vs a measly 6.34 figure last season.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 86.3% to 74.5%.

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