Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Josh Jacobs has run a route on 49.1% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to notch 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
Josh Jacobs has compiled a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 5th percentile among RBs.
The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (68.6%) versus RBs this year (68.6%).
The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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