Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 12.6% this year, which places him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Josh Jacobs has been among the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an impressive 28.0 yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 10th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 31.0) to running backs this year.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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