Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 12.1% this year, which ranks him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Josh Jacobs has notched a meager -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 24th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.