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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.6 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 19.4 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has received 68.5% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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