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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.

In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.8 rush attempts.

Among all RBs, Josh Jacobs ranks in the 96th percentile for carries since the start of last season, accounting for 64.7% of the workload in his team's run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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