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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Packers as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect Josh Jacobs to accumulate 14.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Josh Jacobs to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this week's contest (49.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.6% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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