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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-126/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among RBs with 14.3 carries.
  • Among all RBs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 91st percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 63.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The Lions linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year with their run defense.

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