My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 21.0 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs ranks in the 94th percentile for carries this year, making up 65.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™