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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to notch 15.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been given 63.7% of his team's rushing play calls last year, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to run on 40.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.1 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers last year (just 55.7 per game on average).
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Detroit's safety corps has been very good last year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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