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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

With a 44.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Packers.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to accumulate 18.9 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After comprising 81.5% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the ground game this year, currently sitting at only 64.2%.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Miami's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

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