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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to garner 20.4 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has garnered 80.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 11th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

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