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This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.After averaging 49.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has produced significantly fewer this year, currently pacing 41.0 per game.Josh Downs's 37.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 50.9.
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