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Josh Downs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-470).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -470 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -470.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

With an elite 19.6% Red Zone Target Share (82nd percentile) this year, Josh Downs rates among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

This year, the stout Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has conceded a mere 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.8% red zone run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.

Josh Downs has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (49.0 per game).

Josh Downs's 37.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 50.9.

More Josh Downs Player Props

Josh Downs TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14