reorder

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Josh Downs's 77.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 70.6% figure.

The Titans pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.8%) versus wideouts this year (77.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

Josh Downs has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing attack this year (18.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.8%).

More Josh Downs Player Props

Josh Downs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 8