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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+155/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Josh Downs's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 70.6% to 75.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Josh Downs's 17.8% Target Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy decline in his air attack usage over last year's 25.8% figure.
  • Josh Downs's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.1 mark.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's group of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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