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Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to run 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

With a fantastic 4.9 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Downs places as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

While Josh Downs has earned 24.7% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Indianapolis's passing offense in this contest at 17.0%.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

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Josh Downs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 2