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Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Philip Rivers.

A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -4-point underdog this week.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.3 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

Josh Downs's 17.9% Target% this season represents a substantial decrease in his passing attack utilization over last season's 25.8% figure.

Josh Downs's play as a receiver has worsened this year, averaging just 3.3 adjusted receptions compared to 5.1 last year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.7%) versus WRs this year (62.7%).

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

More Josh Downs Player Props

Josh Downs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 17