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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Josh Downs's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 70.6% to 75.5%.
  • This year, the anemic Cardinals defense has yielded a massive 171.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Josh Downs's 17.8% Target Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy decline in his air attack usage over last year's 25.8% figure.
  • After averaging 49.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has produced significantly fewer this year, currently pacing 41.0 per game.
  • Josh Downs's 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a noteable regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 55.0 rate.

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