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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Josh Downs's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 70.6% to 73.7%.
  • This year, the feeble Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for a whopping 176.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-most in the league.
  • The Raiders pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.5%) to wide receivers this year (74.5%).
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.07 seconds per snap.
  • Josh Downs's 16.1% Target Rate this year shows a substantial diminishment in his air attack volume over last year's 25.8% rate.
  • Josh Downs has notched far fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).

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