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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Josh Downs ranks as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 52.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Josh Downs ranks as one of the leading wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 4.30 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Our trusted projections expect Josh Downs to be much less involved in his offense's air attack in this week's contest (19.7% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.7% in games he has played).

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