My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to run 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Josh Downs checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 52.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

While Josh Downs has earned 24.7% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Indianapolis's passing offense in this contest at 17.0%.

With a subpar 7.4 adjusted yards per target (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Downs has been as one of the worst pass-catching WRs in the league.

Josh Downs is positioned as one of the worst wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.

More Josh Downs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™