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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Philip Rivers.
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.3 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Josh Downs's 17.9% Target% this season represents a substantial decrease in his passing attack utilization over last season's 25.8% figure.
  • Josh Downs has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
  • Josh Downs has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).
  • Josh Downs rates as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 6.91 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 17th percentile among wide receivers

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