My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-102/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Colts.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • Josh Downs has been a much smaller part of his team's passing attack this season (17.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.8%).
  • Josh Downs has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (49.0 per game).
  • Josh Downs's 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 55.0 mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™