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The model projects the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.The predictive model expects Josh Allen to throw 32.8 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.1 per game) this year.While Josh Allen has earned 16.7% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Buffalo's ground game near the end zone this week at 25.0%.
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