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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • Josh Allen's 68.5% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteable gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 64.7% rate.
  • Josh Allen has been among the best touchdown passers in football this year, averaging an excellent 1.57 per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 30.7 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his team's ground game near the end zone in this week's game (22.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).

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