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Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (48.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.The model projects Josh Allen to throw 32.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game near the goal line in this week's contest (25.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (18.2% in games he has played).Josh Allen has rushed for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football when it comes to QBs (98th percentile).
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