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Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Josh Allen's 71.3% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a remarkable gain in his passing precision over last season's 64.7% mark.

With a remarkable ratio of 1.56 per game (90th percentile), Josh Allen rates as one of the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year.

This year, the imposing Browns run defense has conceded a feeble 0.79 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bills to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.3% red zone run rate.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

In this game, Josh Allen is predicted by the model to total the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.6.

More Josh Allen Player Props

Josh Allen TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16