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Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+122/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 69.9%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Steelers defense this year (73.1% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.73 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 7th-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.0% red zone run rate.

Right now, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

In this contest, Josh Allen is projected by the predictive model to have the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.5.

More Josh Allen Player Props

Josh Allen TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13