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Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Josh Allen's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.7% to 69.6%.

With an excellent rate of 1.64 per game (78th percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the top touchdown throwers in the league this year.

The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

The projections expect Josh Allen to be a more important option in his offense's ground game near the goal line in this game (32.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.6% in games he has played).

More Josh Allen Player Props

Josh Allen TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12