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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Josh Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Josh Allen's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.7% to 70.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 51.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (45.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

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