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Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+138/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 64.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the least pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (51.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

The model projects Josh Allen to throw 32.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.

More Josh Allen Player Props

Josh Allen TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 20