My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 71.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (51.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in football vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™