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Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+116/-126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +111 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Josh Allen's 71.3% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a remarkable gain in his passing precision over last season's 64.7% mark.

With a remarkable ratio of 1.56 per game (90th percentile), Josh Allen rates as one of the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (52.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

In this game, Josh Allen is predicted by the model to total the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.6.

More Josh Allen Player Props

Josh Allen TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16