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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 69.6%.
  • Josh Allen has been one of the top touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 1.64 per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Steelers defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 52.7% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to call the 11th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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