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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 69.2% pass rate.

Josh Allen has attempted 36.9 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in football.

Josh Allen has been among the leading touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.19 per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season (75.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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