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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-102/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to run on 44.2% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • This week, Josh Allen is predicted by our trusted projection set to notch the 2nd-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 8.2.
  • While Josh Allen has earned 21.5% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's running game in this week's game at 30.1%.
  • Josh Allen has grinded out 35.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among quarterbacks (98th percentile).
  • Josh Allen's 6.76 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a remarkable gain in his running skills over last season's 5.65 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

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