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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • In this contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 6.7.
  • Taking on 22.4% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (85th percentile among QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a significant threat on the ground.
  • Josh Allen has generated 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among QBs (100th percentile).
  • Josh Allen's 7.08 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season illustrates a significant gain in his rushing prowess over last season's 5.65 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 44.0% of their plays: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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