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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 12-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 48.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects Josh Allen to notch 7.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

Comprising 25.8% of his team's run game usage this year (88th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a major weapon in Buffalo's rushing attack.

With a fantastic tally of 35.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Josh Allen places among the top running quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Dolphins run defense has yielded a meager 109.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-best in the league.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Miami's collection of LBs has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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