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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to run on 44.9% of their chances: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to garner 7.0 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

Josh Allen has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this season (39.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (22.0%).

With a remarkable tally of 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (88th percentile), Josh Allen has been as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).

Josh Allen's 3.64 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a meaningful decline in his rushing prowess over last season's 5.65 rate.

Since the start of last season, the poor Jets run defense has been gouged for a colossal 4.33 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 24th-highest rate in the league.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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