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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 49.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • In this game, Josh Allen is anticipated by the predictive model to garner the most carries out of all quarterbacks with 8.2.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this week's contest (26.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (20.8% in games he has played).
  • Josh Allen has picked up 33.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to QBs (97th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles grade out as the best group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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