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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 9th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect Josh Allen to garner 6.6 carries this week, on average: the 4th-most out of all QBs.
  • Taking on 20.7% of his team's rushing play calls this year (90th percentile among quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in the run game.
  • With a stellar total of 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the best running QBs in football this year.
  • Josh Allen's 6.68 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a material improvement in his running ability over last season's 5.65 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the stout New England Patriots run defense has conceded a measly 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the fewest in the NFL.

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