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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • This week, Josh Allen is projected by the projection model to garner the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.1.
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, making up 21.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among QBs.
  • With a fantastic total of 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Josh Allen stands among the leading rushing QBs in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Allen's 6.45 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates an impressive gain in his rushing ability over last year's 5.65 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 85.0 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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